The next Frontier for aI in China could Add $600 billion to Its Economy
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In the past decade, China has developed a solid structure to support its AI economy and made substantial contributions to AI worldwide. Stanford University’s AI Index, which assesses AI developments around the world across different metrics in research study, advancement, and economy, ranks China among the leading three countries for worldwide AI vibrancy.1”Global AI Vibrancy Tool: Who’s leading the worldwide AI race?” Artificial Intelligence Index, Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI), Stanford University, 2021 ranking. On research, for example, China produced about one-third of both AI journal papers and AI citations worldwide in 2021. In economic investment, China accounted for nearly one-fifth of worldwide personal financial investment financing in 2021, drawing in $17 billion for AI start-ups.2 Daniel Zhang et al., Artificial Intelligence Index report 2022, Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI), Stanford University, March 2022, Figure 4.2.6, “Private financial investment in AI by geographical location, 2013-21.”

Five types of AI business in China

In China, we discover that AI business generally fall into one of 5 main classifications:

Hyperscalers develop end-to-end AI technology ability and work together within the community to serve both business-to-business and business-to-consumer companies. Traditional market companies serve customers straight by establishing and adopting AI in internal transformation, new-product launch, and customer care. Vertical-specific AI business develop software and services for particular domain use cases. AI core tech service providers provide access to computer system vision, natural-language processing, voice recognition, and artificial intelligence abilities to develop AI systems. Hardware business offer the hardware infrastructure to support AI need in computing power and storage. Today, AI adoption is high in China in finance, retail, and high tech, which together account for more than one-third of the country’s AI market (see sidebar “5 kinds of AI business in China”).3 iResearch, iResearch serial market research study on China’s AI industry III, December 2020. In tech, for instance, leaders Alibaba and ByteDance, both family names in China, have actually ended up being understood for their extremely tailored AI-driven consumer apps. In fact, most of the AI applications that have actually been extensively adopted in China to date have actually remained in consumer-facing markets, moved by the world’s largest internet consumer base and the ability to engage with consumers in new methods to increase customer loyalty, income, and market appraisals.

So what’s next for AI in China?

About the research

This research study is based on field interviews with more than 50 specialists within McKinsey and across industries, along with substantial analysis of McKinsey market evaluations in Europe, the United States, Asia, and China particularly in between October and November 2021. In performing our analysis, we looked beyond industrial sectors, such as financing and retail, where there are already mature AI usage cases and clear adoption. In emerging sectors with the highest value-creation potential, we focused on the domains where AI applications are presently in market-entry stages and could have an out of proportion impact by 2030. Applications in these sectors that either remain in the early-exploration phase or have mature market adoption, such as manufacturing-operations optimization, were not the focus for the function of the study.

In the coming decade, our research study shows that there is tremendous opportunity for AI growth in brand-new sectors in China, including some where development and R&D costs have typically lagged global equivalents: automotive, transport, and logistics